Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 8.695721e-04 0.000991 0.001115 0.001249 0.001390 0.001534 0.001690
2025-04-20 6.505027e-04 0.000827 0.001014 0.001224 0.001453 0.001691 0.001958
2025-04-27 4.903482e-04 0.000702 0.000936 0.001209 0.001514 0.001839 0.002209
2025-05-04 3.968930e-04 0.000637 0.000914 0.001246 0.001624 0.002035 0.002508
2025-05-11 3.365665e-04 0.000601 0.000918 0.001307 0.001758 0.002253 0.002829
2025-05-18 2.205589e-04 0.000478 0.000807 0.001225 0.001722 0.002276 0.002929
2025-05-25 1.479605e-04 0.000399 0.000740 0.001188 0.001731 0.002346 0.003077
2025-06-01 1.006983e-04 0.000345 0.000700 0.001179 0.001769 0.002445 0.003255
2025-06-08 7.226366e-05 0.000315 0.000686 0.001200 0.001841 0.002581 0.003473
2025-06-15 5.354881e-05 0.000296 0.000686 0.001236 0.001930 0.002736 0.003712
2025-06-22 3.351226e-05 0.000267 0.000668 0.001248 0.001987 0.002852 0.003904
2025-06-29 1.605942e-05 0.000232 0.000638 0.001241 0.002020 0.002938 0.004060
2025-07-06 4.746392e-06 0.000201 0.000612 0.001239 0.002061 0.003036 0.004235
2025-07-13 5.911962e-08 0.000173 0.000588 0.001239 0.002102 0.003135 0.004410
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000147 0.000563 0.001236 0.002140 0.003229 0.004578
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000140 0.000572 0.001280 0.002237 0.003393 0.004829
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000142 0.000596 0.001346 0.002362 0.003591 0.005118
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000095 0.000521 0.001265 0.002295 0.003555 0.005133
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000069 0.000478 0.001228 0.002284 0.003586 0.005224
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000053 0.000454 0.001219 0.002308 0.003659 0.005364
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000046 0.000451 0.001240 0.002372 0.003781 0.005562
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000043 0.000458 0.001278 0.002457 0.003928 0.005791
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000035 0.000449 0.001289 0.002507 0.004032 0.005967